Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

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ConfusedJew
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by ConfusedJew »

Callafangers wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 7:14 pm
ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 7:05 pm
If you wanted to give me a 2-week ban for being rude, that's fine, but at least hold yourself to the same standards as you hold others.
It's not for "being rude", liar.

Will you admit you portraying it as due to you "being rude" is a straight-up lie?

You are actually caught in a documented lie, here. We can easily prove this was not the reason you were banned. The actual reasons have been stated explicitly and consistently.

Why are you lying, ConfusedJew? This is not a rhetorical question. I'd like you to answer it.
I'm not going to respond to this obviously false accusation. If you feel the need to continue being rude, it just reveals how prejudiced you are which undermines the credibility that you even believe what you are arguing here.

If you want a serious debate, then do it. We'll get to the bottom of the population statistics if you are actually interested in doing that. If not, then just admit you are spreading lies about Jewish people due to some other psychological obsession or neurosis that you have.
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Keen
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Keen »

ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 10:01 pm
Callafangers wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 7:14 pm
ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 7:05 pm
If you wanted to give me a 2-week ban for being rude, that's fine, but at least hold yourself to the same standards as you hold others.
It's not for "being rude", liar.

Will you admit you portraying it as due to you "being rude" is a straight-up lie?

You are actually caught in a documented lie, here. We can easily prove this was not the reason you were banned. The actual reasons have been stated explicitly and consistently.

Why are you lying, ConfusedJew? This is not a rhetorical question. I'd like you to answer it.
I'm not going to respond to this obviously false accusation. If you feel the need to continue being rude, it just reveals how prejudiced you are which undermines the credibility that you even believe what you are arguing here.

If you want a serious debate, then do it. We'll get to the bottom of the population statistics if you are actually interested in doing that. If not, then just admit you are spreading lies about Jewish people due to some other psychological obsession or neurosis that you have.
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Why are you lying, ConfusedJew? This is not a rhetorical question. I'd like you to answer it.
If the evidence for a claim that - HAS TO EXIST - in order for the claim to be true - DOES NOT EXIST - then the claim is obviously false.
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Callafangers
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Callafangers »

ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 10:01 pm I'm not going to respond to this obviously false accusation.
We get it, you lie, then you double-down.

You were temporarily banned for general disruptiveness including (not limited to):
  • Insincerity about your use of AI output
  • Failure to participate in good faith, generally (not understanding the arguments you copy-paste or debate against, evident by your surrounding posts which reflect your lack of knowledge and interest)
  • Very excessive number of posts relative to actual value added
  • Longstanding pattern of disingenuous tactics overall, see here: https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=339
It should come as no surprise to anyone that now, as I am calling you out for this behavior, you once again lie (and gaslight) about it.

Is anyone surprised?

Altogether, it seems like you are on the fast-track to another ban. 8-)
...he cries out in pain and proceeds to AI-slop-spam and 'pilpul' you...
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by ConfusedJew »

Please go back to the population statistics discussion. You are accusing me of being disruptive which is BS.

I left a lengthy response for Archie and I am waiting for that.

To avoid wasting time, many historians have made many efforts to estimate the casualty counts. Can we agree not to waste time by focusing on the earliest, least rigorous, and least reliable methods?

To save time, it is best if we find the best methods first and then drill down on that.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Keen »

Nessie wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 3:22 pm PS - I am male.
You mean "male."
If the evidence for a claim that - HAS TO EXIST - in order for the claim to be true - DOES NOT EXIST - then the claim is obviously false.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Keen »

Nessie wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 10:09 am The key that so-called revisionists can use, to unlock the Holocaust and expose it as a proven hoax...
That key has already been made:

https://thisisaboutscience.com/

Nessie wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 10:09 am Your reluctance to look for that evidence is suspicious.
Lots of people have looked for the evidence, and found the proof here:

https://thisisaboutscience.com/
If the evidence for a claim that - HAS TO EXIST - in order for the claim to be true - DOES NOT EXIST - then the claim is obviously false.
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Archie
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Archie »

ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 6:22 pm
Archie wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 5:04 pm No. Nessie's post was 100% irrelevant to my citations from 1944 and 1945 where Jews were claiming six million HAD been killed, past tense, by Hitler. That you think Nessie's out-of-context thing from 1939 "totally debunks" my argument reveals your total incompetence.
This is wrong. You are cherry picking one war time estimate out of many. Even if it were the only one, still no reason to think that it would have affected any estimate. There's no evidence of that at all and you can even audit the more reliable estimates to see how they did it. Hint - it had nothing to do with a random war time comment.

I won't actually be rude despite how I've been treated, in case you guys actually believe this, but your weakest arguments are in the demographics issue and my biggest strength is in statistical modeling. I wanted to see all the different kinds of arguments you made, but this one issue should easily show you why millions of Jews were not just "resettled out of the German sphere of influence".
Can you explain precisely why my examples below are cherry-picked? And can you please show a similar quality and volume of examples with a similar continuity for one of the other figures you claim was just as prevalent as the six million?
Spoiler
Archie wrote: Thu Jun 26, 2025 2:10 am Rabbi Michael Dov Weissmandl (the man behind the Vrba-Wetzler report), May 1944

Till now six times a million Jews have Europe and Russia have been destroyed.” (Dawidowicz, Holocaust Reader, pg. 327)

“And you, our brothers in all free countries; and you, governments of all free lands, where are you? What are you doing to hinder the carnage that is now going on? Already 6,000,000 Jews have been massacred and this number is increasing by ten thousands every day.” (WRB Archives, material sent with Vrba-Wetzler material)

Now. Bombsaway. This guy is on record multiple times in May 1944 saying that six million Jews HAD died. Past tense. With earlier examples that say X million Jews in peril or whatever you can maybe wriggle out of it by saying it's generic and not that relevant. But do you honestly not see the problem here? Do you really not see why it's a problem for them to be using the number in the middle of the war?

And this is not an isolated example. Joel Brand was also using the number in June 1944. Below is from his interview with Moshe Shertok.

“Similarly, the Nazis believed that by offering to release the remaining 2,000,000 Jews, they might get away with the killing of 6,000,000.”

“Please believe me: they have killed six million Jews; there are only two million left alive.”

Ilya Ehrenberg, 22 Dec 1944 (Soviet War News)
“In regions they seized, the Germans killed all the Jews, from the old folk to infants in arms. Ask any German prisoner why his fellow countrymen annihilated six million innocent people, and he will reply quite simply: ‘Why, they were Jews.’”

So that is at least three different very notable people saying in 1944 that six million Jews had already died. And fairly recently there was a discovery of an example from January 1944 of a rabbi saying in a newspaper article that six million had died. That is the earliest past tense example that I am aware of.

In January 1945, Jacob Lestchinsky published an estimate that six million Jews had died. This might be the earliest that had any purported statistical basis. Need I again state the obvious and say that this is too early for any reliable statistics to have been calculated?
“6,000,000 Jews Dead: Jacob Lestchinsky Estimates Reduction in Europe Since ‘39,” NYT, 8 Jan 1945, pg. 17

Jacob Robinson, June 1945, meeting with Justice Jackson
How great were those losses? inquired Jackson, seeking a figure to use at the coming trial. 'Six million,' responded Dr Robinson, and indicated that the figure included Jews in all Nazi-occupied lands 'from the Channel to Stalingrad.'

Jackson noted that day:

I was particularly interested in knowing the source and reliability of his estimate as I know no authentic data on it. (David Irving, Nuremberg: The Last Battle, pg. 62)

Sydney Gruson, reports from Zionists in London, Aug/Sep 1945. These example are also pre-Nuremberg and they show that the number was well-established in British circles as well.
About 1,500,000 Jews are left in Europe outside the Soviet Union. Six million have perished at the hands of the Nazis. Palestine is the only hope for the ones who are left, the Zionists declare, and they must be given the chance to go without delay. "It cannot be expected, Dr. Weizmann said, "that a people should look with equanimity on the agony of their brothers who survived so fearful a holocaust. (NYT, 4 Aug 1945)
Loss of six million Jews during the war has made extremists of all Zionists in the sense that they do not believe that there can be any more delay in establishing a Jewish homeland, and that their demands are considerate in proportion to Jewry's sacrifices in the war and its contribution to the United Nations' war effort. (NYT, 2 Sep 1945)
The only honest argument that can be made here is that these people were guesstimating and coincidentally got the "correct" answer.
Look, this is actually pretty simple. I can only assume that you are blind to the obvious because you are either playing dumb or you are just refusing to read the material I have linked for you. We have this curious number, the six million. All of us have heard this number. It is natural to ask where it comes from. Well? Where does it come from? There can be no question that it was already predominant in 1945. And the case is very strong that it goes back even earlier than that as there are too many 1944 examples (from notable people) to dismiss as coincidental. And there are even hints of it (again, from notable quarters) throughout 1943 as well (essentially predictions that six million would be killed). I very much doubt you can show this sort of continuity with any alternative figure.

I have quoted this for you before, but I will quote it again since it didn't seem to have sunk in.
"There is a proclivity to insist that there were 6 million killed because that’s what was said in 1945. People don’t want to let go."
-Raul Hilberg, 1990
https://www.jta.org/archive/new-list-of ... er-figures
What Hilberg is talking about here is exactly the thing you deny ever happened. The six million was the early, traditional figure, and it has been maintained all these years for largely emotional reasons ("people don't want to let it go."). This is a Jewish Holocaust historian saying this. This contradicts what you are saying.

Your amusing thesis is that the six million number was established only after careful and absolutely objective statistical and demographic research. Okay. So let's see you develop that thesis. Please give us a little timeline explaining how you think the six million number became the number and tell us what statistical data were used to draw that conclusion.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Nessie »

Archie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 5:29 am ....

Can you explain precisely why my examples below are cherry-picked? And can you please show a similar quality and volume of examples with a similar continuity for one of the other figures you claim was just as prevalent as the six million?

....
You are yet to quantify how many references there were in 1944 to 6 million, and other millions, such as, this from November 1944;

https://newspapers.ushmm.org/historical ... azis-15114

"4 Million Jews Slain by Nazis"

Even if 6 million was found to be the most prevalent, that can be explained by journalists taking from the same source, as it was considered to be reliable. Or it was because research at the time, suggested around 6 million had been killed by 1944, which is not unreasonable, as the history is the vast majority of killings had taken place by mid 1944. The last major operation was the clearing of the Lodz ghetto.

Your propensity to look for conspiracy and rule out mundane reasons, is why you find suspicion.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Nessie »

Article from The Daily Oklahoman, Dec 1944, which includes a survey of how many Jews do people think have been murdered.

https://newspapers.ushmm.org/historical ... true-61582

"100,000 or less........ 21%
100,000 to 500,000.... 5%
500,000 to 1,000,000...1%
1,000.000................6%
2,000,000 to 6.000,000...8%
6,000.000 or more.... 4%
Unwilling to guess:...25%

That shows the public had certainly not been inundated with claims about 6 million by 1944 and there was general disbelief of the news reports of millions killed.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by ConfusedJew »

Archie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 5:29 am
I have quoted this for you before, but I will quote it again since it didn't seem to have sunk in.
"There is a proclivity to insist that there were 6 million killed because that’s what was said in 1945. People don’t want to let go."
-Raul Hilberg, 1990
https://www.jta.org/archive/new-list-of ... er-figures
What Hilberg is talking about here is exactly the thing you deny ever happened. The six million was the early, traditional figure, and it has been maintained all these years for largely emotional reasons ("people don't want to let it go."). This is a Jewish Holocaust historian saying this. This contradicts what you are saying.

Your amusing thesis is that the six million number was established only after careful and absolutely objective statistical and demographic research. Okay. So let's see you develop that thesis. Please give us a little timeline explaining how you think the six million number became the number and tell us what statistical data were used to draw that conclusion.
This doesn't matter at all. I'm not going to respond to red herrings. This is why I said to avoid wasting time, which you are doing, go find the most rigorous and reliable estimates and address those.

Look up the difference between straw manning and steel manning. You all do so much of the former. If you have any intellectual honesty, you'll do the latter.

Don't pick the most unreliable or unimportant facts and figures and try to represent them as though they are the gold standard. Actually go to the best arguments and evidence so you don't waste everybody's time.

Now if you want to actually have a half-serious debate, go tell me where you think some of the strongest arguments are and we can debate which are the most important to look at.

From this point forward, if you try to "play stupid" I'm just going to assume that you are being serious and just are stupid and will not shy away from calling that out. If you want to accept Hilberg as a credible source when you use his argument, then actually look at his counterargument. If you don't, that is just a waste of everybody's time.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Keen »

ConfusedJew wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 11:59 am Don't pick the most unreliable or unimportant facts and figures and try to represent them as though they are the gold standard. Actually go to the best arguments and evidence so you don't waste everybody's time.
:lol:

Are you suggesting Confused jew, that if one has actual proof of something, something that can be considered conclusive, then that is what is to be proffered first and foremost, instead of so-called "evidence" from sources that are not clear, convincing or credible?
If the evidence for a claim that - HAS TO EXIST - in order for the claim to be true - DOES NOT EXIST - then the claim is obviously false.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Keen »

ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 2:23 am A lot of the arguments on here are not even plausible, let alone likely or substantiated.
Right, like the "huge mass grave" lies that are not even plausible and have never been substantiated. Glad to see that you see that too Confused jew.

ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 2:23 am Some of the arguments on here are interesting though and I'm learning more about how to rigorously analyze history from this exercise.
What about science Confused jew?

Are you learning how to rigorously analyze science from this exercise too?
ConfusedJew wrote: Mon Sep 08, 2025 2:23 am Now if you want to actually have a half-serious debate...
Why only half-serious Confused jew?

Are you afraid to have a full-serious debate?
If the evidence for a claim that - HAS TO EXIST - in order for the claim to be true - DOES NOT EXIST - then the claim is obviously false.
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Archie
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Archie »

Nessie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 6:40 am
Archie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 5:29 am ....

Can you explain precisely why my examples below are cherry-picked? And can you please show a similar quality and volume of examples with a similar continuity for one of the other figures you claim was just as prevalent as the six million?

....
You are yet to quantify how many references there were in 1944 to 6 million, and other millions, such as, this from November 1944;

https://newspapers.ushmm.org/historical ... azis-15114

"4 Million Jews Slain by Nazis"

Even if 6 million was found to be the most prevalent, that can be explained by journalists taking from the same source, as it was considered to be reliable. Or it was because research at the time, suggested around 6 million had been killed by 1944, which is not unreasonable, as the history is the vast majority of killings had taken place by mid 1944. The last major operation was the clearing of the Lodz ghetto.

Your propensity to look for conspiracy and rule out mundane reasons, is why you find suspicion.
You have not quantified anything either. Providing exact counts and ratios is difficult because there are too many potential sources and you have to read the actual text to confirm that it's not out of context. Doing a google search like bombs was trying to do doesn't cut it.

You are also forgetting the obvious point that six million ended up as the standard number. Your analysis fails to explain how that happened.

As far as your specific example, it is illegible. The headline says 4M killed as of Nov 1944, and it seems to be from the WJC. That is not even inconsistent with my examples as my 1944 examples (saying Hitler had killed 6M) are generally from Europe. I don't think they started saying it in America until a bit later, maybe June 1945 (based on Jacob Robinson), if not somewhat earlier. Looking quickly at my files, I can see that Rabbi Wise was personally saying 6M by 1946.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by ConfusedJew »

This totally ignored my question.

If you want to demonstrate a shred of intellectual honesty, explain what you think the strongest population statistics evidence and arguments are and why you think they are stronger than others.
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Re: Undeserved reply to CJ on population statistics

Post by Nessie »

Archie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 1:13 pm
Nessie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 6:40 am
Archie wrote: Tue Sep 09, 2025 5:29 am ....

Can you explain precisely why my examples below are cherry-picked? And can you please show a similar quality and volume of examples with a similar continuity for one of the other figures you claim was just as prevalent as the six million?

....
You are yet to quantify how many references there were in 1944 to 6 million, and other millions, such as, this from November 1944;

https://newspapers.ushmm.org/historical ... azis-15114

"4 Million Jews Slain by Nazis"

Even if 6 million was found to be the most prevalent, that can be explained by journalists taking from the same source, as it was considered to be reliable. Or it was because research at the time, suggested around 6 million had been killed by 1944, which is not unreasonable, as the history is the vast majority of killings had taken place by mid 1944. The last major operation was the clearing of the Lodz ghetto.

Your propensity to look for conspiracy and rule out mundane reasons, is why you find suspicion.
You have not quantified anything either.
It is your job to do that, to prove that 6 million was used as the death toll in 1944, to such an extent, that it is suspicious, and indicative of a planned conspiracy.
Providing exact counts and ratios is difficult because there are too many potential sources and you have to read the actual text to confirm that it's not out of context. Doing a google search like bombs was trying to do doesn't cut it.
IOW, you either cannot be bothered, or you do not want to do any work, which may result in you having to backtrack and accept you are wrong. You prefer to maintain your unevidenced belief.
You are also forgetting the obvious point that six million ended up as the standard number. Your analysis fails to explain how that happened.
You failed to read my point that by 1944, there was already a lot of information about Nazi mass killings, for someone to do research and conclude a 6 million death toll. I also showed you a survey that asked people to guess, and there were some who guessed 6 million.
As far as your specific example, it is illegible. The headline says 4M killed as of Nov 1944, and it seems to be from the WJC. That is not even inconsistent with my examples as my 1944 examples (saying Hitler had killed 6M) are generally from Europe. I don't think they started saying it in America until a bit later, maybe June 1945 (based on Jacob Robinson), if not somewhat earlier. Looking quickly at my files, I can see that Rabbi Wise was personally saying 6M by 1946.
What the 4 million figure proves, is that 6 million had not been settled on as the actual death toll. Instead, based on information that had come from Europe about the mass killings, some had calculated that the death toll had reached 6 million by 1944. It did not go higher, because by the end of 1944, the mass killings had stopped. So, it is not at all odd that in 1945, the death toll remained at 6 million. The people who had calculated 6 million, evidence proves, were at least within the now accepted death toll range.
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